*This article was written on 19 Dec 2021. The Biden administration and NATO are trying the diplomatic means available to de-escalate the situation and deter Russia from a possible full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and true to Russian form, the intentions of the strategic decision makers on the Russian side are still not abundantly clear. For…More
Erdoğan’ın krizlerdeki tavrı ve İstanbul seçimi.
Sayın Cumhurbaşkanı Tayyip Erdoğan, 17 senelik iktidarı boyunca kendisi için kriz olarak tanımlanacak pek çok vaka ile karşılaştı. Bu vakaların büyük çoğulundan da hasar almadan çıkmayı başardı. Sayın İmamoğlu’nun İstanbul Belediye Başkanlığını kazanması Erdoğan için bu krizlerin bir yenisini, ve belkide en büyüklerinden birisini temsil ediyor. Bizim gibi dışarıdan izleyenler için Erdoğan’ın daha önceki krizlerde…More
A Sovereign Democracy and a Dud Partner: Explaining the Slide in U.S. – Turkey Relations
My commentary on U.S – Turkey relations: A Sovereign Democracy and a Dud Partner: Explaining the Slide in U.S.-Turkey RelationsMore
Information warfare: How I learned to stop worrying and embraced the chaos.
Many key strokes have been registered on the subject of how to counter information warfare waged in the age of networked information flow and social media. Most debate and policy suggestions focus on how we can eliminate malignant information (misinformation, disinformation, propaganda etc..) and provide the consumer with information in its purest form. The proposed…More
What Charlie Wilson, the dangers of folklore and a military weapon called the Stinger can tell us about strategic thinking.
The last war of the Soviet Union, the invasion of Afghanistan, lasted almost a decade between 1979 and 1989. The war that eventually brought us the Taliban, the immortal picture of the Afghan girl Sharbat Gula and some pretty famous Rambo scenes, also brought us the idea that one weapon can change the course of…More
Zapad-2017
An Analysis of Motive for the Upcoming Military Exercises on the Russian Borders As the Russian strategic exercise, Zapad-2017, approaches, analysts in security and strategy circles have turned their attention to possible motives and outcomes. In this article I explain what these strategic exercises are for and what should be expected from this year’s exercise. The Armed Forces of…More
Turkey, S-400s and the Alliance
An analysis of the rationale for Turkey’s proposed purchase of Russian missile defence systems, and implications for its wider foreign policy The strategic air defence of Turkey was designed solely to fight against the Soviet Strategic bombers during the Cold War and relied on the MIM-14 Nike Hercules surface-to-air missiles and fighter jets such as…More
Why is al-Bab a high risk target?
Today TAF and its local contractor, the Free Syrian Army (FSA), are about to delve into an urban operation in al-Bab in Syria as part of the Euphrates Shield campaign. A series of urban operations between 2015-16 against the PKK militants in the cities of Turkey revealed that the Turkish Armed Forces (TAF) lack the…More
CROSS-DOMAIN 